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National electoral map: Obama gains two states, McCain one

October 16, 2008 |  7:08 am

With 20 days to go until the general election, new research on state polls by Karl Rove & Co. shows two more states moving into the electoral vote column of Sen. Barack Obama and one other state moving from tossup into the column of Sen. John McCain's states.

Obama in recent days (before last night's final debate) has gained Florida and Colorado, a total of 36 hypothetical electoral votes, to give Obama a new total of 313, well beyond the 270 necessary.

McCain gains Indiana's 11 electoral votes to give him a total of 174. Only 51 votes in four states remain in the tossup category, as shown in yellow on the map below, courtesy of Karl Rove & Co. The study's methodology and a chart showing weekly movements from July are available by clicking on the Read more line below.

-- Andrew Malcolm

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Karl Rove National electoral map between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama 10-14-08

Karl Rove electoral chart by weeks Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama presidential race 10-14-08


For each state, the map uses the average of all public telephone polls (Internet polls are not included in the average) taken within 14 days of the most recent poll available in each state.

For example, if the most recent poll in Montana was taken on July 15, the average includes all polls conducted between July 1 and July 15. States within a three-point lead for McCain or Obama are classified as toss-ups; states outside the three-point lead are allocated to the respective candidate.

There is no polling data available for the District of Columbia, but its three electoral votes are allocated to Obama.

Map and Chart published courtesy of Karl Rove & Co.