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Who's likely to vote in today's elections?

June 5, 2012 |  1:26 pm

A voter casts her ballot for the California primary in Sacramento.

Who's more likely to cast a ballot in Tuesday’s primary elections? A 22-year-old or a 65-year-old? A man or a woman? A Californian or a South Dakotan?

Generally speaking and if recent history holds true, more older than younger voters –- and more women than men –- will go to the polls in California and the four other states holding primaries Tuesday, according to new information from the Census Bureau. And more South Dakotans than Californians are likely to turn out to vote too, the data show.

The Census Bureau on Tuesday unveiled a new, interactive webpage that allows users to view graphs showing the percentages of U.S. adults who voted and registered in every congressional and presidential election from 1996 to 2010.

LIVE RESULTS: California primary

Users also can choose an election year and find charts that show registration and voting by various characteristics, including age, sex, educational attainment, or race.

In the November 2010 election, for example, California’s voting rate put it squarely in the middle of the pack among states. Its voting percentage was an unspectacular 47%, just above the national rate of 46%, and above such states as Utah and Texas (36%), but well below others such as South Dakota (55%) and Oregon (56%).

Voting and registration tend to increase with age. Across the country, in the November 2010 election, just 21% of 18- to 24-year-olds voted, compared to 61% of those 65 and older.

In many elections, the bureau says, women vote at statistically higher rates than men. In November 2010, 46% of women voted, compared to 45% for men.


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Photo: A voter casts her ballot for the California primary in Sacramento. Credit: Rich Pedroncelli / Associated Press