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Did Bill Clinton leave a number when he called Joe Sestak about that Obama job offer?

Gee, maybe Democrat Joe Sestak wants to reconsider that infamous Obama/Emanuel/Clinton job offer after all.

Democrat Pennsylvania Senate candidate Joe Sestak

A new poll out today shows the representative's bounce after thumping the old ex-Republican out of Pennsylvania's Democratic Senate primary didn't last very long.

In fact, it's gone in that Keystone state so full of what Obama once infamously described as bitter small-town people clinging to their guns and religion.

Now, Sestak significantly trails the Republican, Pat Toomey, in their Nov. 2 matchup, 45-38, with only 12% left undecided five months out, according to Rasmussen Reports. Right after the Democratic primary held a hypothetical 4 point lead over the conservative, former congressman Toomey.

Perhaps worse for Sestak, at this point fully 19% of Democrats are undecided or favor someone else, a sign that the former admiral has some ship repairs to do within his own political crowd. Only 7% are in the same category for Toomey.

Almost 3 out of 4 Pennsylvania voters say they've been following the revelations about the Obama administration's job suggestions if Sestak would have abandoned his primary challenge. A reflection of the Obama/Emanuel Chicago politics style, as described here.

And of Pennsylvania Republican Senate candidate Pat Toomeythose who think that issue is very important to their vote, 69% favor Toomey. Of those who dismiss the job-offer issue, 61% like Sestak. 

Sestak revealed the offer when he was a rebel Democrat running against  Obama-backed Arlen Specter. Obama is now 0-4 in backing Democrats in major races since November.

Watch for Sestak to be unable to find the time to cozy up to the 44th president before November, although as a House member he voted in favor of Obama's healthcare legislation. Fifty-six percent of Pennsylvania voters now favor repeal of that expensive law.

As one possible route indicator for Sestak, in last month's special election in Pennsylvania's 12th District, Democrat Mark Critz won the old John Murthaseat by running against virtually all Obama initiatives, including the healthcare bill.

Toomey now leads among both female and male voters and also among independents.

-- Andrew Malcolm

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Photos: NBC (Sestak); Associated Press (Toomey).

Comments () | Archives (2)

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"As one possible route indicator for Sestak, in last month's special election in Pennsylvania's 12th District, Democrat Mark Critz won the old John Murtha seat ..."

I don't think that election stands for very much.

The Pennsylvania primary was a peculiar business. There was one statewide open race that attracted national attention (Specter v Sestak) so there was a huge motivation for Democrats (but not Republicans) to turn out. Pennsylvania primaries are closed. Independents cannot just waltz in and take a partisan ballot. So there was not much incentive for Independents to turn out.

Another point is that there was a primary election to select the candidates on the November ballot at the same time as the special election to fill the open seat.

Here are the actual finals for the PA 12th Congressional District Primary election and the special election.

12th Special Election
Critz 70,915
Burns 60,740
Libertarian 3,158
Total 134,813
%D 52.60%

12th Primary
Critz 59,658
OD1 16,645
OD2 6,407
Total D 82,710
Burns 26,098
Russell 19,711
Total R 45,809
Grand Total 128,519
%D 64.36%

A couple of observations:

1. There were only 6K more voters in the Special Election than in the Primary Election. I would guess that a lot more independents will show up in November.

2. There were almost twice as many D voters in the Primary as R voters. That ratio will be lower in November.

3. In the Special Election Critz only picked up 11K of the 23K voters who supported a Democrat in the the primary and who did not vote for him in the primary. Burns on the other hand picked up all of the R primary votes and 15K more votes. With independents and more R turnout in the fall, Burns may have a decent chance.

Is this blog ran by Fox news it is entirely anti-Obama


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About the Columnist
A veteran foreign and national correspondent, Andrew Malcolm has served on the L.A. Times Editorial Board and was a Pulitzer finalist in 2004. He is the author of 10 nonfiction books and father of four. Read more.
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