Final Rove electoral map sees large Obama win over McCain

Well, the final day before the official presidential voting and the final version of Karl Rove's exclusive national electoral map sees a strong victory for Barack Obama, gaining the most electoral votes since Bill Clinton's lopsided win over Bob Dole in 1996.

According to the research of compiled state polls by Karl Rove & Co., the hypothetical electoral college numbers suggest an Obama win over the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin of 338 electoral votes to 200.

For the final report, Rove has allocated each state to the candidate leading there in state polls today.

According to these calculations, Obama takes hard-fought Florida. But McCain edges ahead in Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota and North Carolina.

Rove notes that Obama and McCain are in dead heats in North Carolina and Missouri, but the most recent polls over the weekend show a trend toward the Republican ticket. "Florida, too, could end up in McCain’s column," Rove adds, "since he’s benefited from recent movement in the state." But it's not enough for the Arizona senator to capture the necessary 270.

For an explanation of the research methodology and for a chart showing the study's movements week by week since July 1, click on the Read more line below. The Ticket's appreciation to Rove & Co. for its permission to publish these polls simultaneously throughout the recent hotly contested months.

--Andrew Malcolm

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Methodology

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For each state, the map uses the average of all public telephone polls (Internet polls are not included in the average) taken within 14 days of the most recent poll available in each state.

For example, if the most recent poll in Montana was taken on July 15, the average includes all polls conducted between July 1 and July 15. States within a 3-point lead for McCain or Obama are classified as tossups; states outside the 3-point lead are allocated to the respective candidate.

There is no polling data available for the District of Columbia, but its three electoral votes are allocated to Obama.

Published by Top of the Ticket with permission of Karl Rove & Co.

Comments

[goodoldboy]

Hi, I'm a hick living in AlaBAMA, YEEEEE HAWWWWW, and I've decided to change my mind. I thought of going mccain but realized I was being a sheet head. Some of my buddies wanted to shoot em.. But Heeeeeck, I love the guy! So I went into that there booth ya'll and pulled that lever whammy thing for Obama. Yes sir!

[Ryan]

when did Rove release this? because if it was sometime today, then his "predictions" are just a lazy rip off of the eletoral split of 338-200 on real clear politics' electoral map (the "no toss-up" map) that I saw at 8 am this morning. what is fox news paying this has-been anyway?

[RM23]

I am not buying it. Polls are trending towards McCain in all Battlegrounds and 8% still undecided.

Farrakhan+Auntie+Ayers+Wright+ACORN+Killing Coal+Obamitable Taxman=last minute McCain win.

Whoo Hoo!

[libby]

Dear Friends,

Many of us are concerned about reports that Obama is in the lead for this presidential race. However we do know that God is in charge and that prayer changes things. We invite you to join us in standing in agreement this day, that the path of America is guided by God's light.
We are calling forth the power of God's all knowing spirit to intervene in the confusion of the day and to bring forth the revelations that will allow for this confusion to be removed. There are issues that can come to light, that will give many a chance to awaken to the understanding of the significance of their decisions.
See God's hand in this moment revealing all that needs to go forth as you recite the following prayer:

To all that stands in the way of God's love, I command you to be removed and to be dispelled. The Spirit of the Lord reigns and it will go forth in lightening speed to bring about all that it is sent to do. I send forth this Spirit to command all that is about, to be in the light of God's presence and only to move forward if deemed by God to do so."
Do not walk in fear for there is no fear when you trust. Rather, see it as so and be assured that what you so call forth is heard.
Prayer is always the path. Unite together and do not waiver.

[Jorge]

This news by Rove will possibly put McCain in the hospital---or worse! Couldn't Rove break it to the mean-spirited, old puppet more gently?

[James McGill]

Wait.. What?

Karl Rove? The Karl Rove? Is calling the election for Obama??? What's surprising about this is, he'd say anything at all. He's not even *trying* to spin this for the Republicans. What gives?

[Bill Blevins]

Sarah Palin was the final nail in the McCain political coffin. Bad choice, Senator. Bad bad choice.

[john]

Why would a professional writer begin an article with "well"?

[Raymond A. Foss]

Out of Our Fears, Out of Our Hopes

Tomorrow, Election Day
we are given anew, a chance to decide
to choose our leaders, an opportunity to give voice
to our aspirations, our dreams, our wishes for our land
We can choose, to vote out of our fears, or
to vote out of our hopes.
I choose hope, over my fears
my dreams, over my doubts
my love, over my hate
my similarities, not my differences
my longing for a better world,
not walls around my home

I am voting for Barack Obama

November 3, 2008

[jp2]

so what can we conclude from this ... hmmmm I thought the polls were saying this was a dead heat ... how can that be ... when are folks going to wake up ...polls are used to manipulated public opinion and should be considered worthless ... it is sad that they do tend to move some segments of the population so worthless is an overstatement ... polls only manipulate folks who still do not as adults look in a critical, analytical manner at how the Global Corporatocracy functions.
..

[Patti]

My theory: Rove is trying to make Democrats complacent so we won't go out and vote. VOTE!

[Fred Pohlman]

If all could see this well researched site, the vote would surly SURELY...GO TO OBAMA...
www.thunderingsofthequill.com

[Michael]

It is an obvious attempt to disenfranchise votes by saying there is no need to go vote, thus making it possible for republicans to win races

[a2]

Dear Libby,

You can vote your religion, that is your choice.

I am going to vote what I think is the best path for this nation.

My reward is not in your heaven, and I thank you to leave your myopic vision at home.

[Mike]

IS this a shock? Rove is a smart guy, and he's not going to miss a chance to be right on the money one more time. You can bet that he and most of the core of the party said "oh my god no!" when McCain won the primary, and they want a chance to play big in 2012. Being right about the numbers now is how he gets credibility to be back to save the GOP in 2012.

[Ravi]

Rove is a Genius, there is no otherway GWB could have been a president.

[kirkussent]

FYI Libby,

The light is shining on Obama and setting on Bush. You should have prayed for Bush and maybe things would have been better than they are now.

[Daniel Bradley]

Libby,
Get a clue? There is no God and if there was he would think that you were delusional for believing the fairy tail you call a religion. You should know your hate filled monologues that you call prayer aren't heard outside the room you're kneeling in.

[Tip And Ring]

Libby,

God could care less.

[Dear Libby]

Libby, Why are you concerned that Obama is leading the polls? God wants Obama to win. It would be foolish to attempt imposing your will over God's, don't you think? Don't fight God's will, embrace it.

[mtatom]

It all boiled down to the fact that I'd rather see Obama as our President than Palin as our Vice President. Plus I'm tired of hearing McCain saying "Fight, fight, fight...".

[Anti Socialist]

The Lost Angeles Times is just one of the many hundreds of media doing everything possible to get B.O. elected. If B.O. is elected, the United States of America will begin its spiral downwards to becoming the United Socialist States of America. B.O. is highly radical. (1) He wants to destroy an entire U.S. industry and all the jobs associated with it. (2) He wants to create a national civilian security force (The Nazis had one of these too). We have the FBI, The Department of Homeland Security, the NSA, and the CIA. We don't need a civilian security force, and how is B.O. going to pay for that program? Through Draconian carbon regulation and taxation. He'll have to raise other taxes to fund his other Socialist programs too. B.O. is a Marxist to the bone.

[Old Coot]

"Come what come may, time and the hour pass the roughest day" I think this came from Shakespeare.

[DJ]

Remember if you or Voting for Obama please vote on Wednesday. If you are voting for McCain please vote on Tuesday. This will ease the waiting at the voting stations. Thank you for your cooperation.

I am voting Wednesday.

[Jesus was a liberal]

Libby,

You are so correct PRAYER can make a difference.

Here are some scriptures that give me strength and guide me in my life and voting.

Blessed are the peacemakers: for they shall be called the children of God. [Matthew 5:9]

Do not judge, lest you too be judged. For in the same way you judge others, you will be judged and with the measure you use, it will be measured to
you. [Matthew 7:1 & 2.]

Render therefore unto Caesar the things which are Caesar's; and unto God thethings that are God's. [Matthew 22:21]

Love your neighbor as yourself. .[Matthew 22:39]

So in everything, do to others as you would have them do to you.[Matthew 7:12.]

If you would be perfect, go, sell what you possess and give to the poor, and you will have treasure in heaven.
[Matthew 19:21]

But when you give a feast, invite the poor, the maimed, the lame, the blind, and you will be blessed,
because they cannot repay you. You will be repaid at the resurrection of the just. [Luke 14:13 &14.]

Ye are the light of the world. [Matthew 5:14]

I am praying and voting for the candidate who spreads

LOVE over hate,
HOPE over fear,
COMPASSION over currency,
DIPLOMACY over violence,
PEACE over war.

That candidate is Barack Obama.

Yours in Christ,
Dan