National electoral map: McCain gains Florida, closes elsewhere

The electoral college is now the closest it’s been since June 10, with McCain picking up 27 electoral votes since last week by moving Florida into his column. Obama still leads McCain with 260 electoral votes to McCain’s 221 votes, with 57 as a tossup. Obama’s lead also has slipped to just 4 points in several key battleground states, including Michigan (17 EV), New Mexico (5 EV), and Pennsylvania (21 EV), putting them on the cusp of becoming tossups.

For a chart showing the weekly movements since March and an explanation of the research's methodology, click on the Read more line below ...

Methodology

For each state, the map uses the average of all public telephone polls (Internet polls are not included in the average) taken within 30 days of the most recent poll available in each state. For example, if the most recent poll in Montana was taken on July 15, the average includes all polls conducted between June 15 and July 15. States within a 3-point lead for McCain or Obama are classified as tossups; states outside the 3-point lead are allocated to the respective candidate. There is no polling data available for the District of Columbia, but its three electoral votes are allocated to Obama.

-- Andrew Malcolm

Map and chart courtesy of Karl Rove & Co.

Comments

[Will Parker]

What the hell, why NOT take Karl Rove's opinion of McCain's chances as gospel truth?

Do you people happen to know about this thing called "journalism"? Might want to look it up.

[john yakovou]

McCain closes in? ..Gains Florida? REALLY?
Look who conducted the poll...
Karl Rove and Co !!
Hardly a source I would use for unbiased reporting!

[Guy Blaise]

Senator McCain's choice for V.P. is surprising but a great choice. Once again history have been made.The Republicans have a female running mate. It's time for America to bring fresh political leaders. It's time to let women take important roles in politics, because women are more sensitive to the real issues of our society. Their roles as mothers and wives are the foundation of the family, often overshadowed by men. Men are nothing without women. As the Batekes of the equatorial forest of Congo say,'Woman is the belt on man's pants."
http://guyblaise.com/

[dave]

'i never saw a purple cow; i never hope to see one;
but I can tell you anyhow; i'd rather see than be one!'
- gelett burgess

there are less crude election maps, less polarized and more detailed, with party colors represented in shades of purple, varying from red to blue.
but anyhow: when the people look for choices, they've already been made for them. and those not wanted by the powerful - anyone who'll tell the truth, resist corruption, and offer real solutions - has been tabooed untouchable. so many people, in mortal fear of the legitimate and qualified candidates they've been misled to mistake for 'moonbats' and 'barking loons' - many will not be able to see the truth of their message, and the lies told by others.
so some will dream of a blue donkey, and others hope for a red elephant to save them, and many fail to see they'll fall again, for the same deceitful purple cow.
only when people stop to vote for political parties, or the interests of corporations and cartels, and banking dynasties, but reserve their vote for someone who will represent their own vital interests, and is accountable to them - only then can they reclaim their country, and see their rights and liberties restored.
to implement constitutional principles and values in government and politics, will guarantee true and lasting benefits for everyone.
this can best be done, by people of wisdom and integrity, such as RON PAUL.

[anonymous]

Excuse me, but isn't the election in NOVEMBER?

[Alessandro Machi]

Sure looks like Hillary Clinton would be doing better than Obama, any map of Hillary versus McCain you could show us?

I think Obama is going to lose California.

http://www.HILLARY-WINS.com
http;//www.CAUCUSCHEATING.com
http://www.FAIR-REFLECTION.com

[Robert Mackey]

How did you decide to use "Map and chart courtesy of Karl Rove & Co." rather than an objective source of information? These numbers are curiously far more favorable to McCain than the averages at say pollster.com. Take a look: http://www.pollster.com/

[Robert Mackey]

Other readers may make more sense of the fact that Mr. Malcom thinks a curiously pro-McCain chart and map "courtesy of Karl Rove and Co." is an objective look at the race by looking at his biography to the right of this page: he was "press secretary to Laura Bush in 1999-2000."

[brkdckdwg]

if you're going to use a polling result from some rightwing neoconic{gallup ap usa wsj cnn rhuters or a host of other} new world order mad man and his puppet masters as proof positive that the tides in this election are changing in favor of their newest dummies{fibber mccain & calamity what's her name} at least have the decency and journalistic integrity to use large bright multicolored letters and images of Ferris wheels,dancing dogs&,tumbling bears mounds upon mounds of piping hot| sun ripen elephant poop is being mixed in mashed & then fluffed and buffed by sinister and shadowy figures who shape some of it into the various poll & survey numbers being juggled by smiling pointy eared big mouths & small minds anal retentive little clowns of all shapes & size wearing diapers and ti nee tiny dunce hats while the rest is being fed to a crowd of people madeup to look identical to the clowns except that they are eating up the crap and not juggling it THEN AND ONLY THEN SHOULD YOU PRINT,PUBLISH OR PASS AS FACT SUCH BIAS S@##%