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Barack Obama and women voters: His numbers are good, but could be better

The antipathy toward Barack Obama among some Hillary Clinton backers notwithstanding, he's doing well among the nation's female voters -- better, according to a new poll focusing on female voters, than Al Gore's advaDemocratic presidential nominee and Illinois senator Barack Obama at a townhall meeting in Virginiantage as summer was starting in 2000 or John Kerry's edge at a comparable period four years later.

But the pollster whose firm conducted the survey for EMILY's List sees room for improvement by Obama among women voters -- especially older ones.

“There are still Democratic votes on the table" that Obama "can go out and get,” Geoff Garin said at a briefing Wednesday attended by The Times' Cynthia Dizikes.

The poll of more than 1,400 women voters quizzed during the first week of August found Obama ahead of John McCain by 12 percentage points.

So far, so good, from a Democratic point of view. Gore led in a similar survey by 9 points in June 2000; on election day, network exit polls showed him carrying the women's vote over George W. Bush by 11 points. Kerry led among these voters by a mere 1 point in a June survey when he ran for the presidency; he eventually won them by 3 points in his loss to Bush, according to the exit polls.

But just as Obama is widely perceived to be underperforming in polling of all voters -- a perception that has only grown with several new surveys showing him in a virtual dead heat with McCain -- Garin's analysis of his results indicates that the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee should not be satisfied with his current support level among women.

The sweeping poll, which asked questions on a range of topics and can be examined here, found that when dividing its participants into age groups, Obama had the potential to improve his numbers.

The poll respondents were asked not only about the presidential race, but whether they would support a "generic" (i.e., theoretical) Democratic or Republican congressional candidate.

Those between the ages of 44 to 62 (baby boomers) favored Obama over McCain by 6 percentage points -- but the generic Democratic over a Republican by 17 points.

The gap was even more striking among those older than 62; this group tilted toward Obama by 11 points, but toward the generic Democrat by a whopping 27 points.

Senior women represent Obama's ...

... “greatest room for growth,” Garin said.

Of course, he also could staunch talk of underperforming by improving his support among men, where McCain has established dominance.

In the new L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll, for instance, McCain countered Obama's 11-percentage-point lead among women with an 8-point lead among men.

“There is a gender gap,” Garin said.  “[Obama] is doing very well with women voters, but there is the other side.”

-- Don Frederick

Photo credit: Associated Press

 
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On the heels of the LAT/Bloomberg survey showing Obama dropping 10 points since June comes another piece of bad news from Reuters/Zogby. Their new poll, conducted Thursday through Saturday (August 14-17), shows McCain taking the lead away from Obama - a 12-point turnaround from last month when Obama led by 7:
cCain 46 (+6)
Obama 41 (-6)

CNN: 8/21/08 (THE OBAMA CAMP NETWORK); troubling news for Obama as he gets set to accept his party's nomination in Denver. What can Barack Obama do to reverse his continued sudden slide in the polls? Name Hillary Clinton as his running mate!!! It would turn the Democratic National Convention into a love-in. 4,438 delegates locking arms and singing "Kum-Ba-Ya’’!

Consider this finding from the new Wall Street Journal-NBC News poll out Wednesday night. A bare majority of Clinton supporters, say they will vote for Obama. Twenty one percent favor McCain, while 27 percent are still undecided or say they will vote for "someone else.’’ More than half of Clinton’s supporters are still not on board with Obama! The holdouts tend to like McCain more than Obama and have more confidence in McCain’s ability to be commander-in-chief.

Would Clinton add to the ticket? Apparently. The poll shows Obama leading McCain by three points. If Clinton were at the top of the ticket, she would be leading McCain by eight.

As the truth about McCain's first marriage gets more publicity, more women will really have to think twice about supporting him. It's not the fact that he ended his marriage - tons of men and women do that. It's the fact that he left his wife in a wheelchair and flew around the world courting women half his age, looking for someone to subsidize his future political career, before settling on Cindy and *then* asking for divorce. Now, I'm no extremist womens-lib feminist, but any woman should be horrified. War hero or not, that kind of behavior is just inexcusable.

republicansforobama.org

I don't understand why ANY woman would vote for John McCain. He is totally against women getting equal pay doing the same exact job as a man in the same exact warehouse or other venues. He belittles woman by referring to them as "trollops" and making dispicalbe rape jokes about Apes and women. He has little respect for his his own wife, "at least I don't cake on the makeup like a trollop, you 'c**t!" Guess McCain is an expert on "trollops" and "c**ts", perhaps these types of women he chased and favored after returning from VietNam and finding the tall, slender, beautiful, and previous model he married was now a bit overweight, crippled, and four-five inches shorter due to a near-fatal accident she had had three years prior. McCain has made terrible jokes about Chelsea and Hilliary. When someone at one of his townhall meetings stated Hilliary was a byitch, John McCain throught it was pretty funny and laughed heartily!! Really, women, how can you support such a vulgar man who sees his wife as a trollop and a c**t?? Imagine what he thinks of the rest of us!! The thought sickens me and it should you as well.

the heels of the LAT/Bloomberg survey showing Obama dropping 10 points since June comes another piece of bad news from Reuters/Zogby. Their new poll, conducted Thursday through Saturday (August 14-17), shows McCain taking the lead away from Obama - a 12-point turnaround from last month when Obama led by 7:
cCain 46 (+6)
Obama 41 (-6)

CNN: 8/21/08 (THE OBAMA CAMP NETWORK); troubling news for Obama as he gets set to accept his party's nomination in Denver. What can Barack Obama do to reverse his continued sudden slide in the polls? Name Hillary Clinton as his running mate!!! It would turn the Democratic National Convention into a love-in. 4,438 delegates locking arms and singing "Kum-Ba-Ya’’!

Consider this finding from the new Wall Street Journal-NBC News poll out Wednesday night. A bare majority of Clinton supporters, say they will vote for Obama. Twenty one percent favor McCain, while 27 percent are still undecided or say they will vote for "someone else.’’ More than half of Clinton’s supporters are still not on board with Obama! The holdouts tend to like McCain more than Obama and have more confidence in McCain’s ability to be commander-in-chief.

Would Clinton add to the ticket? Apparently. The poll shows Obama leading McCain by three points. If Clinton were at the top of the ticket, she would be leading McCain by eight.

Posted by: jone
-------------------
Has it occured to you that a good portion of Senator Obama's supporters would NOT vote for him IF Hilliary was on the ticket? Senator Obama's theme as been all about CHANGE. Hilliary is the epitomy of politics as usual and proved it by the way she ran her campaign.....slash and burn tactics and consistently putting him down with her lies and distortions. This is the very thing we, Obama's supporters disdain both about Hill and McCain. The are old politicians who carry the mantle of the politics of yesteryear. Another thing, we do NOT want Bill back in the White House, he brought total shame to the office of the presidency with his deplorable behavior and subsequent deceit and lies, "I did not sleep with that woman-----Ms Lewinsky" he told the world while pointing and japping his finger at all of us! Many thanks to Ms Lewinsky for preserving her blue dress with Bill's DNA all over it, otherwise Bill would have gotten away with more of his lies!! McCain, too, will find his deceit, slander, and lies will come back and haunt him!! He not only lies about and slanders Senator Obama; he grossly exagerates his "experiences". He is a warmonger who can only talk about being a POW and smear Obama. His "Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran" does nothing but ANGER Iran and other enemies. Degrading the Russians and proclaiming he has always hated them does nothing but anger and imflame that country!! McCain is making harsher and more determined enemies out of Iran and Russia by his dispicable rantings!! McCain means the draft and World War III. Count on both!!


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About the Columnist
A veteran foreign and national correspondent, Andrew Malcolm has served on the L.A. Times Editorial Board and was a Pulitzer finalist in 2004. He is the author of 10 nonfiction books and father of four. Read more.
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