Early leaks on N.C., Indiana exit polls: a murky picture.

If there's one sure thing we should have learned from the year's protracted Democratic presidential race, it's that waaaaaaay too much stock is invested in the predictive power of the early waves of exit polls. So perhaps it's just as well that the first reports on what these surveys show seem contradictory.

First, from the good news for Barack Obama/bad news for Hillary Clinton department. The venerable Matt Drudge blares this on his website -- "HILLARY'S 'DOUBLE DREAM' DASHED: EXITS SHOW EASY OBAMA WIN IN NC."

But then there's this report, on Time magazine's The Page website -- "Fox: Was Rev. Wright 'very' or 'somewhat' important? Indiana and North Carolina: 48% Yes."

That's a high number of voters with Obama's former pastor on their mind, which his camp can't feel good about.

-- Don Frederick

Comments

[Jon]

Obama's NC crew is guilty of voter FRAUD!

The Winston-Salem Black PAC handed out illegal "Official" Ballots with Obama's name PRE-Bubbled in, and voters attempted to turn in these ballots!!! According to NC election law, this is ILLEGAL!

http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/5/2/161342/1154

[Luke]

You don't have to post this comment, but "pastor" is misspelled in the above post.

[Tina]

Here’s a good summary of some reasons to consider supporting Obama.
Share this with anyone who’s still undecided.
http://acropolisreview.com/2008/04/top-reasons-to-give-barack-obama-your.html

[Teller]

Future News:

America continues to vote for the same old politics, and gets same old results. Voters blame the government. Economy continues to decline. Jobs reduce pay or move elsewhere. Health care becomes out of the financial reach of more and more americans. Educational options are reduced for the working class.

[Ross C. "Bubba" Nicholson]

If 3 states are excluded after certified free and fair elections, if two states' primaries are reversed by the party, then Hillary Clinton must run as McCain's running mate or by her lonesome in an independent run.

[jennifer potenciano]

when hillary won the pennsylavania primary, the vultures in were around, not so much as to celebrate w/ her, but to passionately pan her victory, in the hope that she’d soon cop out, so they could feed on the corpse of the alleged longshot-winner.

now, w/ obama’s n.c. win, the effeminate vultures have appeared to feast, less on the loser, but more on the carcass of a decaying democratic nominating contest.

even if obama, by hook or by crook, is able to nail down the nomination, yet all he can come up with is a pyrrhic victory, that’ll merit a sound drubbing—a convincing trashing--by mccain.

by the gospel of the freedom of the press, let me explain.

with his expected n.c. primary win announced, obama--& his hordes of fanatics—are gleefully gloating over their own interpreted “game changer” victory.

but is it? did the materialization of such foregone conclusion in any way change the nature & course of the democratic race for prexy?

i have my most serious doubts, on several counts.

obama was really expected to nail down n.c. anyway, with his favorite demographics clearly in place. pollsters a week before said obama enjoyed 25 percent margin over hillary at n.c., but he posted only a 14 percentage points margin. & so he got 90 percent of the black votes, though hillary got 61 percent of the white votes—which are obama’s achilles’ heels (including the blue-collar workers & the catholics).

so NOTHING HAS CHANGED AT ALL in this epic battle for the democratic contest.

obama is still 200 votes short of the magic number for the required delegates, & even if he were to get all the remaining delegate votes in the primaries left to be played out, obama is, ergo, technically & substantially NOT THE DEMOCRAT’S NOMINEE, as what the democratic party rules say.

alright, obama then will beseech, beg (even down on his knees) from, the superdelegates to hand him over the remaining votes he needs to wrap up the nomination.

but what will that make of him—this self-declared “unifier” (read: effectively, a “divider”); “hope” bringer (read: “down-&-out-pessimism precipitant”), and “change agent” (read: old- timeworn-policy rehasher shortchanging the american people, a shameless-copycat-appropriator)—if not a mere trying hard old (in values—such as cheating, lying, idea-pilfering habits--character & programs of govt.) politician, steeped in the same, corrupt ways of old & traditional politics & tiresome policy programs. see how james pethokoukis just this tuesday, may 6, echoes the hoover institution fellow, the scholar thomas sowell, on obama: “despite obama's impressive oratorical skills and tremendous likability, his actual policy proposals are pretty much what democrats have been running on for a generation: higher taxes on labor, capital, & corporations,” etc., etc.

& in sowell’s (april 20, 2008) national online review article, which he aptly titled “an old newness,” sowell says that “with domestic policies from the 1960s, and foreign policies from the 1930s, barack obama is political poison.” “although senator obama has presented himself as the candidate of new things — using the mantra of ‘change’ endlessly — the cold fact is that virtually everything has says about domestic policy is straight out of the 1960s and virtually everything he says about foreign policy is straight out of the 1930s.

“protecting criminals, attacking business, increasing government spending, promoting a sense of envy and grievance, raising taxes on people who are productive, and subsidizing those who are not — all this is a re-run of the 1960s.

“we paid a terrible price for such 1960s notions in the years that followed, in the form of soaring crime rates, double-digit inflation, and double-digit unemployment. during the 1960s, ghettos across the countries were ravaged by riots from which many have not fully recovered to this day.”

besides, why is obama, till now, w/o depending on the superdelegates for deliverance, unable to ‘close the deal’ despite his US$300 MILLION PLUS POLITICAL WARCHEST ADVANTAGE, outspending hillary by a mind-boggling ratio of 3 to 1? (that it is roughly 12 billion philipine pesos, enough to feed our 75 million plus million poor filipino brethren for a few months.) what kind of money politics is this, in a presidential election that is supposed to bring to the white house the most qualified, most competent, most visionary & most clean president? so how does this money politics make this obama any different from the rest of the money-propelled political candidates vying for public office? nothing, no difference at all.

finally, with his damage political persona, brought about by his questionable character, impaired judgment (re jeremiah wright, rezko, farrhakan, blagojavich, et.al.) values (w/ his “BITTER” insult of small-town american folks, etc., etc.) & tired, if crackpot policies, how can obama argue that he’s a more “electable” nominee than hillary vs mccain?

it’s time obama saw the real score on the ground--& this is it: in a toe-to-toe brawl w/ mccain, obama would be brutally mauled, he’d be another kerry, another gore, w/ the ruthless republican attack machine goring him, w/ not an ounce of a scruple, uncaring whether he (obama) has got any energy left to get back to the barracks.

hence, obama has got to realize that only HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON is the (wo)man to beat for the republicans, the most electable democrat’s nominee, the only candidate that mccain fears, & fears the most. admit it or not, obama must drill it into his tough skull that mccain regards him, by now, as a mere patsy, a pushover, easily “beatable.” thus, obama must give way to hillary, quit the race PRONTO, RIGHT THIS VERY MINUTE, reconcile with hillary, heal the wounds of the party--& work with hillary to campaign against the republicans, & to present to the great american people the democratic party’s agenda for national salvation & renewal (caveat, be wary of obama’s gang of plagiarists & preempters & shameless appropriators, there you again, with your penchant for idea stealing!)

this is the only way for obama to save the democratic party from totally disintegrating & self-destructing. ***