Top of the Ticket

Political commentary from Andrew Malcolm

« Previous Post | Top of the Ticket Home | Next Post »

Roll out your scenarios

Wyoming looms. Then Mississippi. Then Pennsylvania. Figure Barack Obama wins the first two, give Hillary Clinton the win in Pennsylvania, and what does that portend for Guam, North Carolina and Indiana, which follow? [Note to editors: If you're looking for volunteers for the voter-in-the-street story from Guam, the Hawaiian shirts are already in the suitcase].

In reality, barring a complete meltdown it's hard to see either candidate  putting together enough significant wins now to walk into the Democratic National Convention in Denver a clear winner. Never say never, but ...

So how do you see this playing out? Superdelegates brokering a deal at the edge of the Rockies? Bumper stickers that say "Obama-Clinton in '08?" "Clinton-Obama in '08?" Would he help her as a vice presidential running mate by keeping the youth vote in the game? Would she hurt him as a running mate by helping rally the Republican right, something John McCain might not be able to do on his own? Do John Edwards or Bill Richardson become a factor, sitting around smiling and whispering, "You know, if we need a consensus alternative..."?

Add your take to the comments section.

-- Scott Martelle

 
Comments () | Archives (7)

The comments to this entry are closed.

I would hope if Obama wins the pledged delegates AND the popular vote (which is currently the case) that the superdelegates would choose to honor the voters' choice. I don't see a Clinton-Obama ticket happening, though. Clinton would love it, but it would probably do irreparable harm to Obama's "outsider" status. Vice-versa, why would Obama take on a vice-president who not only is part of the system he has been denouncing, but also comes with baggage -- a "better half" that would almost certainly get in the middle of everything? If Obama wins, look for him to take someone like Wesley Clark or another Democrat with real national security credentials -- not fake ones like Hillary's.

Why would Obama give up the powerful voice he has as a United States Senator? As Hillary's VP he would have to "tow the line", so-to-speak, even though he will disagree with her every step of the way. Cheney aside, the VP slot is the path to political reirement--not a firm stepping stone to the presidency. Obama will remain a senator, should Hillary take the nomination; it will allow him to stay on the offensive and voice his opinions, even though they be contrary to the party line and the party's president. Obama has always been an independent voice, he will not give that up.

Hillary too will retain her senate seat, as she will play second fiddle to no one.

Obama needs to re-emphasize change INCLUDING a change from Billiary, she is no more ethical or competant than Bush... some old sinister tactics, say anything to get elected... then we will have scandal after scandal. I supported Bill Clinton because he was unfairly attacked by the right wing, but now Billiary seems just like the right wing in terms of dishonesty, cynicism, hypocritical...

If the race ends up becoming relatively even and if both Obama and Clinton have a legitimate argument for why they should be the nominee in the end, then there is going to have to be a compromise. Obama steps down and allows Clinton to become the nominee in exchange for the VP slot and a public promise by Clinton to serve only one term in office.
http://www.onmilwaukee.com/myOMC/blog/show/1405

I agree with the argument that the superdelegates should choose to honor the voters' choice. But honor the entire country population's vote - including Florida and Michigan. Obama is still a kid. He could get excellent experience as V.P. He has to prove himself worthy our trust. Obama has not demonstrated ready to hold the stick. And we cannot take risks. I look forward to better America lead by Clinton.

This is like forecasting the weather! What storm will tomorrow bring. I can't tell who will win in each state, because of delegate system.

We're talking about totals and Hillary is behind. Long as Obama has the lead in popular vote and delegates, he's doing fine.

I won't give Clinton's campaign the benefit of winning Pennsylvania, no matter her supporter Gov. Rendell made his bonehead statements.

A lot can happen and this is my speculation. Obama should go to Florida after the Mississippi vote. Spend four days giving speeches there. Go to Michigan too four days. Stop Clinton's campaign argument that people in those states have chosen her. Tell those potential voters they matter too.

He only has to spend two weeks in Pennsylvania. Clinton's campaign is counting on winning there, if she doesn't, there goes her argument.

After Pennsylvania, super delegates might be under pressure to choose already. He can show up in Indiana or North Carolina for one speech before entering Pennsylvania.

Obama has to act like this is going to last a long time.


There will be no pairing Obama-Clinton. If she ever takes the lead, he won't agree to be her Vice President.


Obama-Biden

Team Clinton will continue alternating between blowups and meltdowns until the voters don't want Hillary talking any time, anywhere, anyhow, on a phone or otherwise.

The Clintons can be joint ambassadors to whatever country is furthest away from the U.S.


Connect

Recommended on Facebook


Advertisement

In Case You Missed It...

About the Columnist
A veteran foreign and national correspondent, Andrew Malcolm has served on the L.A. Times Editorial Board and was a Pulitzer finalist in 2004. He is the author of 10 nonfiction books and father of four. Read more.
President Obama
Republican Politics
Democratic Politics


Categories


Archives
 



Get Alerts on Your Mobile Phone

Sign me up for the following lists: