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Opinion: Odds long but improving for Thompson, Paul in Nevada

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LAS VEGAS -- Ron Paul and Fred Thompson have seen strong gains in a recent Zogby poll here, but they still have a long way to go. And the poll has some bad news for Rudy Giuliani -- an erosion of support from 37% to 28% since the last Zogby poll here in April, though he still leads Mitt Romney by 8 percentage points.

Thompson’s numbers climbed from 7% to 13%, and Paul saw a gain from 1% to 7%. Interestingly, Paul has a bit of a gender gap here -- 12% support among Republican men and 2% among Republican women.

For the Democrats -- who will debate Thursday night at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas -- the poll found little has changed, which is interesting because the Democrats have been spending more time campaigning here than the Republicans.

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Hillary Clinton moved up two percentage points to 37% from April; Barack Obama moved down two percentage points to 19%. John Edwards was unchanged at 15%. Bill Richardson, the New Mexico governor, isn’t getting much neighborly affection -- he moved up 1 percentage point to 6%.

The polls found the undecideds at 16% for Republicans and 17% for Democrats, which is high -- but Nevadans apparently are more sure of themselves than folks in New Hampshire.

-- Scott Martelle

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