New Iowa poll: Romney, Clinton lead, Rudy a poor fourth

Some interesting results from the first Rasmussen Reports poll out of Iowa today:

Mitt Romney still leads the Republican field by six points (25%) while Hillary Clinton leads her Democratic competitors (33%) by nearly twice as much, 11 points.

But there's a statistical tie for second place in both party's likely caucus-goers. Fred Thompson (19%) and Mike Huckabee (18%) are tied for the GOP while John Edwards (22%) and Barack Obama (21%) are close among Democrats. The Democratic race has long been close, but the growth of Huckabee's support is more surprising, although his fundraising has not matched it.

Among the 650 Republicans polled, national GOP frontrunner Rudy Giuliani is trailing badly among Iowans at 13%, John McCain even worse at 6%, Sam Brownback (3%), Tom Tancredo and Ron Paul both at 2% and California's Duncan Hunter last at 1%.

Among the 1,007 likely Democrat caucus-goers polled, Bill Richardson is at 7%, Joe Biden at 4%. As other polls have shown, Clinton is strongest among women (39%). Her advantage among men is much smaller, 28% to Edwards' 24%. Obama does best among those with higher education and higher incomes, while Clinton is strongest among those earning less than $40,000. Fifty-nine percent of Clinton supporters say they're certain to vote for her, 51% for Edwards and 48% for Obama.

Eighty-nine percent of Democrats believe they will win the White House in 2008. Among GOP members, only 51% believe they will win.

In favorable-unfavorable ratings, Romney also leads Republicans, 76-22, while Thompson is close at 73-23. Huckabee is 64-30, Giuliani 68-30 and McCain is 53-45.

--Andrew Malcolm

 

Comments

[Where Is It?]

Can't find this poll on Rasmussen site. Plase link as this is from October 17, 2007.

[K. Price]

Mitt is the front runner. Go Mitt. It is nice to see that the momentary crush on Huckabee has been reigned in and more logic is being applied in Iowa and elsewhere around the country.

[K Hogan]

This is from OCTOBER 2007! How is this relevant?????????????

(It isn't. But that's what you get when you read the archives.)

[bassick]

The Clintons must have some ties to Google owners as well. A lot of old articles favorable to Hillary have been popping up incurrent news searches over the past month....when Hillary started having trouble.

[John M.]

Just in case anyone has stumbled across the site via google news like me and is still wondering, this article is from October. To view the current state of the race in polls, the best aggregate site is realclearpolitics.com. According to the poll averages, Obama is +3.5 in Iowa and Huckabee is +10.7.

Amazing how times change, eh?

[Bass]

I think this should be reported to google, as the guys at LATimes continue to play tricks to rank their OLD news stories high up on google. Andrew Malcolm, please look into this before damaging your own reputation!

(Talk to Google, if it matters to you. We have colossal power here from the desk, pulling the strings of society all across the country. But have no control over what articles Goolgle's search engines select. Wish we did. But thanks for reading, even though it's a very old item. Try the new ones up top.)

[RL]

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaarggghhhhhhh! Why, why in the name of god does google have on its news page "News: Iowa poll: romney, clinton lead, rudy a poor fourth?" For crying out loud, why!! And this has been happening a lot recently, with old October articles coming up as news. I'm going to commit suicide if I see another old article as news in google....

(Well, wait til after you vote. It's some technical issue within the search programs that prevents it from seeing the date. So it thinks it's a new item. They're working on it. Thanks for reading. You can always click on the logo and see our brand-new items.)