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Palo Alto Firm Releases New Poll

An Internet poll by Polimetrix, developed by a Stanford political science professor, shows Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger with a 10-point lead over state Treasurer Phil Angelides. The polling company claims to have developed "a unique sample selection methodology that combines a large Internet panel with voter and consumer databases to create representative voter samples."

The poll was conducted for the Hoover Institution. Take the following results for what you will.

  • Governor: Schwarzenegger 50%, Angelides 40%


  • Lieutenant governor: John Garamendi 51%, Tom McClintock 45%


  • Attorney general: Jerry Brown 58%, Chuck Poochigian 37%


  • Controller: John Chiang 52%, Tony Strickland 40%


  • Secretary of state: Debra Bowen 50%, Bruce McPherson 43%


  • Treasurer: Bill Lockyer 55%, Claude Parrish 37%


  • Insurance commissioner: Steve Poizner 55%, Cruz Bustamante 36%


  • U.S. Senate: Dianne Feinstein 57%, Richard Mountjoy 39%

Initiatives

  • Prop. 85, parental notification: 42% yes, 51% no


  • Prop. 86, cigarette tax: 49% yes, 47% no


  • Prop. 87, oil tax: 49% yes, 44% no


  • Prop. 88, parcel tax: 31% yes, 60% no


  • Prop. 89, campaign finance: 35% yes, 52% no


  • Prop. 90, eminent domain: 58% yes, 28% no

The company said about the poll: "Participating in the survey were 877 likely voters belonging to the PollingPoint Internet panel. Panelists were selected to match a random sample drawn from the California voter list by age, gender, race, party registration and residence. The margin of error for the survey estimates is approximately plus or minus 3.5%."

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Robert Salladay
Robert Salladay has covered California governors and state politics for 10 years. He has worked for the Oakland Tribune, the San Francisco Examiner, and the Capitol bureaus of the S.F. Chronicle and L.A. Times. He is a graduate of UC Berkeley in history and Northwestern University in journalism. He covered the election of Gray Davis (twice), the 2000 Florida presidential recount, the 2003 recall and the Schwarzenegger administration. A native of Sacramento, he has lived in San Francisco, Oakland, Chicago, Washington, D.C., and Chesapeake, Va.