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Hurricane Norbert to hit Cabo San Lucas?

October 8, 2008 |  9:33 pm

Norbert

Hurricane Norbert has tracked to the northwest and may veer to the north, then east, which would indicate a possible Baja California landfall. Too early to tell just yet but here is the 8 p.m. advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center:

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES
...675 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY WITH SOME INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NORBERT IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NORBERT SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN BY LATE
TOMORROW AND STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST BEGIN ON FRIDAY.

And here's the latest post by the forecasters at Surfline, looking at the Cabo San Lucas area:

"As of this afternoon, Hurricane Norbert was located about 460 miles south off the end of Baja. Norbert has reached Category 4 hurricane force,with maximum sustained wind speeds of 115kts and it looks like he'll stay Cat 4 for most of Thursday. Norbert is currently tracking WNW at 8 kts and he's expected to shift to a more northerly then northeast course during the second half of the week. At this point it looks like Norbert will run into southern Baja Sur as a Category 2 hurricane on Saturday.

"Norbert's S swell steadily builds into all exposed areas of Baja Sur on Thursday with consistent easily overhead to double overhead plus surf for lots of spots and much bigger stuff at top breaks. Still OK weather on Thursday. More size as the hurricane swell shifts SSW on Friday but that's when ESE to SE winds kick up through the day and the rain is due to move in. Saturday blows up as Norbert is due to slam into southern Baja Sur with hurricane waves, winds and weather. Any area near Norbert gets hammered then and many roads become impassable. We'll do an update tomorrow so stay tuned for the lastest Norbert news!"

For fishermen, looks like another period of port closures. Stay tuned...

--Pete Thomas

Image provided by National Hurricane Center

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