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Predicting the Golden Globes: musical or comedy film races

December 12, 2011 |  6:00 am

Melissa McCarthy as Megan in Bridesmaids
Don’t get us wrong: We laughed in the right places while watching "My Week With Marilyn." But doesn’t calling it a comedy run against the movie’s tragic undertones? But the fact is, it has a better chance for a Golden Globe award here than in drama, and sometimes that’s all that really matters. The Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. doesn’t tend to like its humor R-rated or verbally dense, but it’s hard to believe they’ll ignore the "Bridesmaids" wave. Here's how the nominations Thursday will likely shape up:

Motion picture, musical or comedy

1. "The Artist"

2. "Midnight in Paris"

3. "Bridesmaids"

4. "Young Adult"

5. "My Week With Marilyn"

6. "50/50"

7. "Beginners"

8. "Crazy, Stupid, Love"

9. "Carnage"

10. "The Muppets"

Bubbling under: "We Bought a Zoo," "Win Win."

Lead actor

1. Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"

2. Owen Wilson, "Midnight in Paris"

3. Joseph Gordon-Levitt, "50/50"

4. Paul Giamatti, "Win Win"

5. Johnny Depp, "The Rum Diary"

Bubbling under: Ryan Gosling, "Crazy, Stupid, Love"; Steve Carell, "Crazy, Stupid, Love"; Matt Damon, "We Bought a Zoo"; Christoph Waltz, "Carnage"; John C. Reilly, "Carnage."

Analysis: Globe voters love Giamatti and Depp, though nominating him for "The Rum Diary" after last year’s double-dip for "The Tourist" and "Alice in Wonderland" might be a bit much, even for the HFPA.

Lead actress

1. Michelle Williams, "My Week With Marilyn"

2. Charlize Theron, "Young Adult"

3. Kristin Wiig, "Bridesmaids"

4. Kate Winslet, "Carnage"

5. Jodie Foster, "Carnage"

Bubbling under: Scarlett Johansson, "We Bought a Zoo"; Cameron Diaz, "Bad Teacher"; Emma Stone, "Crazy, Stupid, Love"; Julia Roberts, "Larry Crowne"; Ellen Barkin, "Another Happy Day."

Analysis: We’d guess this is where the year’s left-field nomination lands — either Diaz or Roberts for movies nobody particularly liked, or Johansson for a movie its studio suspects people might like but cynical critics will probably hate.

 RELATED:

The Gold Standard: Oscar forecast

What will win the L.A. film critics' top award?

Predicting the Golden Globes: Motion picture drama races

--Glenn Whipp

Photo: Melissa McCarthy as Megan in "Bridesmaids." Credit: Suzanne Hanover/Universal Pictures 


 
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