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For an awards season that looked so wide open just a few months ago, the race has grown surprisingly tight. The next lap of the film calendar’s version of the Daytona 500 happens this evening at the Golden Globes, where a number of interesting contests will play out.

Who wins the latest round of the increasingly Quaritchian best-picture battle between ‘Up in the Air’ and ‘Avatar,’ as the two face off in the battle for best-picture drama? Can Carey Mulligan retake some of the momentum on best actress? Can ‘Julie & Julia’ take the last step and establish itself as a best-picture Oscar contender with a best-comedy win?

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And, of course, who’s most likely to pull a Christine Lahti and be in the bathroom when winners are announced? (Quick answer: the ‘Hangover’ people.) Our picks for the winners (and backup choices) -- and perhaps some answers to these questions -- below.

We’ll also be live-blogging from inside the Beverly Hilton throughout the telecast as actors, filmmakers and an assorted cast of characters make their way back stage. Follow us here at 24 Frames, and see you at the Hilton.

Best picture -- drama
1) ‘Up in the Air’
2) ‘Avatar’

Best picture -- comedy or musical
1) ‘Julie & Julia’
2) ‘It’s Complicated’

Best actress -- drama
1) Carey Mulligan (‘An Education’)
2) Helen Mirren (‘The Last Station’)

Best actor -- drama
1) George Clooney (‘Up in the Air’)
2) Jeff Bridges (‘Crazy Heart’)

Best actress -- comedy or musical
1) Meryl Streep (‘Julie & Julia’)
2) Marion Cotillard

Best actor -- comedy or musical
1) Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine’)
2) Michael Stuhlbarg (‘A Serious Man’)

Best supporting actress
1) Julianne Moore (‘A Single Man’)
2) Vera Farmiga (‘Up in the Air’)

Best supporting actor
1) Christoph Waltz (‘Inglourious Basterds’)
2) Christoph Waltz (ditto)

Best director
1) Kathryn Bigelow (‘The Hurt Locker’)
2) James Cameron (‘Avatar’)

Best screenplay
1) Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner (‘Up in the Air’)
2) Quentin Tarantino (‘Inglourious Basterds’)

Best original score
1) ‘Up’
2) ‘Avatar’

Best original song
1) ‘Cinema Italiano,’ ‘Nine’
2) ‘I Will See You,’ ‘Avatar’

Best animated feature
1) ‘Up’
2) ‘Fantastic Mr. Fox’

Best foreign-language film
1) ‘The White Ribbon’
2) ‘A Prophet’

-- Steven Zeitchik

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