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Cruise ship giant Carnival posts earnings surprise as bookings rebound

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Cruise ship operator Carnival Corp. today reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings and said bookings continued to improve, another sign that consumers are opening their wallets a little wider.

From Reuters:

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Carnival lifted its 2009 earnings forecast and said ticket prices for its cruises were stabilizing. Bookings for the next three quarters were 19% ahead of 2008 levels, spurred in part by heavy discounting. Travelers are also booking cruises earlier, which has helped rates stabilize, Carnival noted. Chief Operating Officer Howard Frank said during a call that rates were unlikely to fall further in the fourth quarter, given the strength of late bookings. ‘For a limited number of itineraries ... we have been able to move prices up,’ Frank said.

The Miami-based company’s stock gained $1.52, or 4.8%, to $33.52 today, although it pulled back after trading as high as $34.95. The shares are up 38% this year after plunging 45% last year.

Carnival’s rival, Royal Caribbean Cruises, rose 73 cents, or 3.1%, to $23.97, a 52-week high.

Carnival earned $1.07 billion, or $1.33 a share, in the quarter ended Aug. 31. That was down from $1.35 billion, or $1.65 a share a year earlier, but well above analysts’ average estimate of $1.18 a share. Sales were off 14% from a year earlier, to $4.1 billion.

A big dive in fuel costs compared with a year earlier helped the bottom line last quarter.

The company, whose brands include Holland America, Princess Cruises and the Cunard Line, raised its full-year profit forecast to a range of $2.16 to $2.20 a share from a previous forecast of $2 to $2.10.

Still, Frank told analysts that Carnival was cautious about 2010 because of expectations that high unemployment would hinder consumer spending.

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He specifically cited pricing for the company’s Mexican Pacific coast cruises as a ‘challenge’ because of the ‘significant economic slowdown in Southern California.’

-- Tom Petruno

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