Time to buy a house? Experts who sold at the peak now wonder

A few years ago, some economists and others arguing that there was a housing bubble -- often against strong opposition -- acted on their instincts and sold their houses. I caught up with a few of them in The Times today. Dean Baker, a Washington, D.C., economist and one of the prominent early predictors of the bubble, bought a house recently.

Others, such as PIMCO investment fund managing director Mark Kiesel and UCLA professor Mark Kleiman, say prices are still too high for them. But even Kiesel and Kleiman, along with Rich Toscano, producer of the popular Piggington's Econo-Almanac bubble blog, say homes at the low end of the market are now priced reasonably by historical standards, whether or not they've hit bottom. They've only recently begun to say so, as low-end prices have fallen in line with incomes and are favorable compared to rents. (An earlier version of this post inadvertently referred to Piggington's Eco-Almanac instead of Econo-Almanac.)

Princeton University economist and Nobel laureate Paul Krugman, another who warned of overheated house prices, also bought a house this summer. He told the New York Observer, however, that he expects prices to keep falling; he just got a surprise windfall in Nobel Prize money that enabled him to make his purchase.

-- Peter Y. Hong

Comments

[larealtyreport]

Time to buy? Maybe in the lower to mid-level areas that are already down 30-45% from the 2006 peak. It may be tempting to call a bottom at this point if it were not for the next wave of defaults coming our way here in California. Although this group of Alt-A and Jumbo resets will have the greatest effect on higher-end properties, we only need to look at the stock market for a lesson; where the blue chips go, so goes the market.

[Tyrone]

I was shocked to hear Dean Baker was buying - and in the high end too. Then again, thats DC the land where you get jobs helping the govt print money. My Sis tells me the market is getting tight out there.

Here in LA we just have a ways to go.

[President]

According to a NY Times article from September 23, 2007, Mr. Baker sold his Washington D.C. condo in 2004. The peak of the D.C. housing market was 2006. Mr Baker did NOT sell at the peak. Please correct this mistake.