A look back at the rare occasions over the past decade when precursors meant NOTHING...

Having already examined the overlap (or lack thereof) of Golden Globe and Oscar nominees over the past decade and also the overlap (or lack thereof) of SAG and Oscar nominees over the past decade, there is just one thing left to do: examine how performances that were nominated by neither the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. (for the Globes) nor the Screen Actors Guild -- or were nominated by both -- have fared with the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences:

Performances nominated by neither HFPA nor SAG but still nominated by AMPAS:

1. Toni Collette ("The Sixth Sense," 1999) for best supporting actress
2. Ed Harris ("Pollock," 2000) for best actor
3. Marcia Gay Harden ("Pollock," 2000) for best supporting actress WON 
4. Samantha Morton ("In America," 2003) for best actress
5. Djimon Hounsou ("In America," 2003) for best supporting actor
6. Shohreh Aghdashloo ("House of Sand and Fog," 2003) for best supporting actress
7. Marcia Gay Harden ("Mystic River," 2003) for best supporting actress
8. Clint Eastwood ("Million Dollar Baby," 2004) for best actor
9. Alan Alda ("The Aviator," 2004) for best supporting actor
10. William Hurt ("A History of Violence," 2005) for best supporting actor
11. Tommy Lee Jones ("In the Valley of Elah," 2007) for best actor
12. Laura Linney ("The Savages," 2007) for best actress

Performances nominated by both HFPA and SAG but not nominated by AMPAS:

1. Jim Carrey ("Man on the Moon," 1999) for best actor
2. Cameron Diaz ("Being John Malkovich, 1999) for best supporting actress
3. Hayden Christensen ("Life as a House," 2001) for best supporting actor
4. Cameron Diaz ("Vanilla Sky," 2001) for best supporting actress
5. Cate Blanchett ("Bandits," 2002) for best actress or best supporting actress* 
6. Richard Gere ("Chicago," 2002) for best actor
7. Dennis Quaid ("Far From Heaven," 2002) for best supporting actor
8. Evan Rachel Wood ("Thirteen," 2003) for best actress
9. Maria Bello ("The Cooler," 2003) for best supporting actress
10. Paul Giamatti ("Sideways," 2004) for best actor
11. Russell Crowe ("Cinderella Man," 2005) for best actor
12. Ziyi Zhang ("Memoirs of a Geisha," 2005) for best actress
13. Leonardo DiCaprio ("The Departed," 2006) for best actor or best supporting actor*
14. Ryan Gosling ("Lars and the Real Girl," 2007) for best actor
15. Angelina Jolie ("A Mighty Heart," 2007) for best actress

*HFPA nominated for lead; SAG nominated for supporting

With that in mind, consider the following...

2008 performances nominated by neither HFPA nor SAG:

(Based on the aforementioned information, there is a very good chance that at least one of these performances will still be nominated by AMPAS.)

1. Josh Brolin ("W.") for best actor
2. Benicio Del Toro ("Che") for best actor
3. Clint Eastwood ("Gran Torino") for best actor
4. Michael Sheen ("Frost/Nixon") for best actor
5. Will Smith ("Seven Pounds") for best actor
6. Kate Beckinsale ("Nothing but the Truth") for best actress
7. Cate Blanchett ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button") for best actress
8. James Franco ("Milk") for best supporting actor
9. Eddie Marsan ("Happy-Go-Lucky") for best supporting actor
10. Michael Shannon ("Revolutionary Road") for best supporting actor
11. Kathy Bates ("Revolutionary Road") for best supporting actress
12. Rosemarie DeWitt ("Rachel Getting Married") for best supporting actress
13. Debra Winger ("Rachel Getting Married") for best supporting actress

2008 performances nominated by both HFPA and SAG:

(Based on the aforementioned information, there is a very good chance that at least one of these performances will not be nominated by AMPAS.)

1. Frank Langella ("Frost/Nixon") for best actor
2. Sean Penn ("Milk") for best actor
3. Brad Pitt ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button") for best actor
4. Mickey Rourke ("The Wrestler") for best actor
5. Anne Hathaway ("Rachel Getting Married") for best actress
6. Angelina Jolie ("Changeling") for best actress
7. Meryl Streep ("Doubt") for best actress
8. Kate Winslet ("Revolutionary Road") for best actress
9. Robert Downey Jr. ("Tropic Thunder") for best supporting actor
10. Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Doubt") for best supporting actor
11. Heath Ledger ("The Dark Knight") for best supporting actor
12. Amy Adams ("Doubt") for best supporting actress
13. Penelope Cruz ("Vicky Cristina Barcelona") for best supporting actress
14. Viola Davis ("Doubt") for best supporting actress
15. Kate Winslet ("The Reader") for best supporting actress

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Photo: Clint Eastwood and Hilary Swank in "Million Dollar Baby." (Eastwood's performance in that 2004 film was not nominated by either HFPA or SAG but was still nominated by AMPAS. In order for his performance in this year's "Gran Torino" to earn an AMPAS nomination, he will need to repeat that unlikely feat.) Credit: Warner Bros. Pictures

Comments

[NateDoggg]

Under "Performances nominated by both HFPA and SAG but not nominated by AMPAS," you forgot Cate Blanchett for Bandits in 2001, when she was nominated as Lead Actress in a Musical/Comedy at the Globes and Female Actor in a Supporting Role for the SAG and Leonardo DiCaprio for The Departed in 2006, when he was nominated as Lead Actor in a Drama at the Globes and Male Actor in a Supporting Role at the SAGs.

[Scott Feinberg]

NateDogg,
Thanks for pointing those out! I zoned out and neglected to look at both the lead and supporting categories of the Globes.

[MIchelle]

Hang on....I could have sworn that Ryan Gosling was nominated for Lars...wasn't he?