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Feinberg forecast: Screen Actors Guild nominations

Rachel

SAG will periodically name more than 5 nominees in a category, so I have ranked all serious contenders in the order in which I believe they are likely to finish.

BEST ENSEMBLE

  1. "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"
  2. "Milk"
  3. "Doubt"
  4. "Rachel Getting Married"
  5. "Slumdog Millionaire"
  6. "Revolutionary Road"
  7. "The Dark Knight"
  8. "Vicky Cristina Barcelona"
  9. "Frost/Nixon"
  10. "The Wrestler"

BEST ACTOR

  1. Sean Penn ("Milk")
  2. Mickey Rourke ("The Wrestler")
  3. Frank Langella ("Frost/Nixon")
  4. Leonardo DiCaprio ("Revolutionary Road")
  5. Richard Jenkins ("The Visitor")
  6. Brad Pitt ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button")
  7. Josh Brolin ("W.")
  8. Clint Eastwood ("Gran Torino")
  9. Will Smith ("Seven Pounds")
  10. Dustin Hoffman ("Last Chance Harvey")

BEST ACTRESS

  1. Meryl Streep ("Doubt")
  2. Anne Hathaway ("Rachel Getting Married")
  3. Kate Winslet ("Revolutionary Road")
  4. Cate Blanchett ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button")
  5. Melissa Leo ("Frozen River")
  6. Sally Hawkins ("Happy-Go-Lucky")
  7. Angelina Jolie ("Changeling")
  8. Kristin Scott Thomas ("I've Loved You So Long")
  9. Michelle Williams ("Wendy and Lucy")
  10. Rebecca Hall ("Vicky Cristina Barcelona")

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  1. Heath Ledger ("The Dark Knight")
  2. Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Doubt")
  3. Robert Downey, Jr. ("Tropic Thunder")
  4. Josh Brolin ("Milk")
  5. James Franco ("Milk")
  6. Michael Shannon ("Revolutionary Road")
  7. Eddie Marsan ("Happy-Go-Lucky")
  8. Dev Patel ("Slumdog Millionaire")
  9. Ralph Fiennes ("The Reader")
  10. Emile Hirsch ("Milk")

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  1. Penelope Cruz ("Vicky Cristina Barcelona")
  2. Viola Davis ("Doubt")
  3. Debra Winger ("Rachel Getting Married")
  4. Taraji P. Henson ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button")
  5. Rosemarie DeWitt ("Rachel Getting Married")
  6. Kate Winslet ("The Reader")
  7. Marisa Tomei ("The Wrestler")
  8. Amy Adams ("Doubt")
  9. Kathy Bates ("Revolutionary Road")
  10. Tilda Swinton ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button")

Photo: Mather Zickel, Anne Hathaway, Rosemarie DeWitt, and Tunde Adebimpe in "Rachel Getting Married." Credit: Sony Pictures Classics

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Scott Feinberg is a film industry awards analyst. He boasts one of the best track records at projecting the Academy Awards, including a 21 for 24 effort in 2006, first among all pundits according to OscarCentral and Variety. Feinberg, who studied film at Yale University and Brandeis University, is the founder of AndTheWinnerIs.blog.com.
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