Feinberg forecast: Screen Actors Guild nominations
SAG will periodically name more than 5 nominees in a category, so I have ranked all serious contenders in the order in which I believe they are likely to finish.
BEST ENSEMBLE
- "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"
- "Milk"
- "Doubt"
- "Rachel Getting Married"
- "Slumdog Millionaire"
- "Revolutionary Road"
- "The Dark Knight"
- "Vicky Cristina Barcelona"
- "Frost/Nixon"
- "The Wrestler"
BEST ACTOR
- Sean Penn ("Milk")
- Mickey Rourke ("The Wrestler")
- Frank Langella ("Frost/Nixon")
- Leonardo DiCaprio ("Revolutionary Road")
- Richard Jenkins ("The Visitor")
- Brad Pitt ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button")
- Josh Brolin ("W.")
- Clint Eastwood ("Gran Torino")
- Will Smith ("Seven Pounds")
- Dustin Hoffman ("Last Chance Harvey")
BEST ACTRESS
- Meryl Streep ("Doubt")
- Anne Hathaway ("Rachel Getting Married")
- Kate Winslet ("Revolutionary Road")
- Cate Blanchett ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button")
- Melissa Leo ("Frozen River")
- Sally Hawkins ("Happy-Go-Lucky")
- Angelina Jolie ("Changeling")
- Kristin Scott Thomas ("I've Loved You So Long")
- Michelle Williams ("Wendy and Lucy")
- Rebecca Hall ("Vicky Cristina Barcelona")
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
- Heath Ledger ("The Dark Knight")
- Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Doubt")
- Robert Downey, Jr. ("Tropic Thunder")
- Josh Brolin ("Milk")
- James Franco ("Milk")
- Michael Shannon ("Revolutionary Road")
- Eddie Marsan ("Happy-Go-Lucky")
- Dev Patel ("Slumdog Millionaire")
- Ralph Fiennes ("The Reader")
- Emile Hirsch ("Milk")
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- Penelope Cruz ("Vicky Cristina Barcelona")
- Viola Davis ("Doubt")
- Debra Winger ("Rachel Getting Married")
- Taraji P. Henson ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button")
- Rosemarie DeWitt ("Rachel Getting Married")
- Kate Winslet ("The Reader")
- Marisa Tomei ("The Wrestler")
- Amy Adams ("Doubt")
- Kathy Bates ("Revolutionary Road")
- Tilda Swinton ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button")
Photo: Mather Zickel, Anne Hathaway, Rosemarie DeWitt, and Tunde Adebimpe in "Rachel Getting Married." Credit: Sony Pictures Classics


Scott Feinberg is a film industry awards analyst. He boasts one of the best track records at projecting the Academy Awards, including a 21 for 24 effort in 2006, first among all pundits according to OscarCentral and Variety. Feinberg, who studied film at Yale University and Brandeis University, is the founder of