Awards Tracker

All things Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tonys

Category: Eminem

Poll: Would Lady Gaga have beaten Lady Antebellum at the Grammys if nominated for record of the year?

Lady gaga bad romance newsThe greatest Grammy outrage this year was the omission of Lady Gaga's "Bad Romance" from the race for record of the year. It was one of the top-selling singles of 2010 (9.7 million copies) and won video of the year at the MTV Video Music Awards. At the Grammys, "Bad Romance" won best video too, plus Lady Gaga's performance of it claimed the prize for female pop vocal.

If the Grammy nominations for record of the year were chosen by the same voting method as other categories -– that is, by popular vote of members of the recording academy –- it certainly would've been nominated, but instead that lineup is chosen by a secret committee of 25 music experts who obviously don't go gaga over pop's trashiest superstar. They preferred another lady -- Lady Antebellum -– who ended up winning record of the year for "Need You Now."

Do you think Lady Gaga would've ruled if she had made the list, which also included Bruno Mars' "Nothing on You," Eminem and Rihanna's "Love the Way You Lie," Jay-Z and Alicia Keys' "Empire State of Mind" and Cee Lo Green's "… You." Lady Gaga was nominated for album of the year for "The Fame Monster" but lost to Arcade Fire's "The Suburbs."

-- Tom O'Neil

Photo: Lady Gaga. Credit: Interscope


Grammy Awards: Chris Brown loses three Grammys (ouch, ouch, ouch)

Chris brown

Chris Brown may have looked like a winner appearing on "Saturday Night Live," but he took a pummeling at the Grammy Awards, losing three times.

His "Graffiti" lost contemporary R&B album to Usher's "Raymond vs. Raymond." His collaboration with Tank, "Take My Time," lost performance by an R&B group with vocals to Sade's "Soldier of Love."

Most amazing: He didn't lose rap/sung collaboration to Eminem and Rihanna's "Love the Way You Lie," which was also nominated. He lost to Jay-Z and Alicia Keys' "Empire State of Mind," which also beat "Love the Way You Lie" for rap song.

The awards were bestowed prior to the main TV broadcast on CBS. Brown announced ahead of time that he could not attend due to schedule conflicts.

-- Tom O'Neil

Photo: European Pressphoto Agency

 


100% perfect Grammy Award predictions: Top four races

Grammy predictions are a dangerous thing. They attempt to crawl into the brains of notorious bohemians (members of the music industry) who exult in being contrarians. However, certain voting patterns have emerged over the years that help us to forecast what will happen when trophies are doled out tonight. My conclusion: an Eminem sweep and a Grammy breakthrough by Drake.

Grammmy


ALBUM OF THE YEAR NOMINEES
"The Suburbs," Arcade Fire
"Recovery," Eminem
"Need You Now," Lady Antebellum
"The Fame Monster," Lady Gaga
"Teenage Dream," Katy Perry

PREDICTION: "Recovery"
POSSIBLE SPOILER: "The Fame Monster"

Only three contenders have a prayer: Eminem, Lady Antebellum and Lady Gaga. Eminem has lost twice in the past ("The Marshall Mathers LP," "The Eminem Show"), but he'll finally triumph because his album has the most noble theme: rally from substance abuse.

Lady Gaga, let's be honest, deserves this, but her album is old news, unabashedly trashy and Grammys seem to have a secret gripe against her. Her "Bad Romance" was really the record of 2010, but it's not nominated there and Gaga wasn't even put up for best new artist in the past. The only way Lady Antebellum can win is if the trio also takes the categories for best record and song and then carry this along in a sweep.


RECORD OF THE YEAR NOMINEES
"Nothing on You," B.o.B. featuring Bruno Mars
"Love the Way You Lie," Eminem featuring Rihanna
"… You," Cee-Lo Green
"Empire State of Mind," Jay-Z featuring Alicia Keys
"Need You Now," Lady Antebellum

PREDICTION: "Love the Way You Lie"
POSSIBLE SPOILERS: "Need You Now" and "--- You"

Only one contender doesn't have a prayer: "Nothing on You." All other rivals have a real shot. I'm dismissing "Empire State of Mind" because there's a rap/R&B tune here that feels more important thanks to its message ("Love the Way You Lie") and another one that has the catchiest melody and naughtiest lyrics ("… You"). "… You" has a real shot because of who's voting: rascal members of the music industry who think naughty is nice. However, I may be under-estimating "Empire." Could regret this.

Many award pundits are betting on "Need You Now" because of the apples and orange theory of award prognostication: It's the one serious contender here (orange) in a basket of apples (rap/R&B). Often that's a smart theory to follow, but I believe "Love the Way You Lie" will take this as part of Eminem's sweep of the top three races (album, record and song). Also, it has appeal because of Rihanna's role, which is shockingly brave considering the lyrics she sings.

Continue reading »

Grammy predictions: Eminem for best album -- Lady Gaga a spoiler?

Our forum moderators, David "Guru" Schnelwar (at left below) and Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch, and I hooked up for a webcam chat about who will win the top Grammy Awards. Below, our dishfest about best album, which we agree will go to Eminem, but we're leery of those ladies -- Gaga and Antebellum. Read the in-depth analysis of that race here. Plus how we size up the battles for best record, song and new artist.

-- Tom O'Neil

 


Around the Awards Track: Eminem expects to lose at Grammys | BAFTA predictions | Oscar voters drunk on 'King's Speech'?

● Most Grammy pundits agree that Eminem -- who leads with the most nominations (10) -- is going to have his biggest trophy sweep ever, but he's got a defeatist attitude, according to Royce da 5'9", a singerEminem grammy on Em's label, Shady Records. "He doesn't think he's gonna win anything," he told MTV News. "He wouldn't bet me, though. But I think he honestly thinks he's not gonna win. Which I think is ridiculous." MTV

● Grammy rumor: "This year the big show opener will be a tribute to Aretha Franklin featuring Christina Aguilera, fresh off her Super Bowl fumble, and Jennifer Hudson, among others. Odds are that the Queen of Soul may even make an appearance to put an exclamation point on the segment and her recovery from a recent undisclosed illness." WAYNE'S WORLD

● After causing a fashion uproar at the Golden Globes for wearing different-colored shoes, Helena Bonham Carter promises that her footwear will match at the upcoming Oscars, but the rest of her ensemble will "probably be a catastrophe." LONDON TELEGRAPH

● When Gold Derby executive editor Paul Sheehan and I hooked up with Jeffrey Wells for a video slugfest at the Hollywood Museum, the Hollywood-Elsewhere wag equated Oscar voters' love for "The King's Speech" to an alcoholic having a relapse. "It's back to the booze and slurping," he says, now that voters are seemingly about to pick a "huggy bear, comfy blanket" movie for best picture. GOLD DERBY

BaftaSasha Stone predicts what will happen at BAFTA when the British film awards are doled out Sunday. Expect "The King's Speech," of course, but she warns: "The BAFTAs have been known to shock, however. Last year's 'Hurt Locker' win, for instance, was a bit of a heartstopper. …. Tilda Swinton won for 'Michael Clayton' just before winning the Oscar, as did Marion Cotillard. Famously, Roman Polanski won Best Director at the BAFTA before then winning the Oscar as well for 'The Pianist.' " AWARDS DAILY

● If you want to win your office Oscar pool, pay special attention to those tricky crafts categories. Kris Tapley does an artful job handicapping the race for best art direction. Though predicting "The King's Speech," he warns that " 'Alice in Wonderland' is definitely a spoiler possibility," noting that Tim Burton's "Sweeney Todd" pulled off an upset here a few years ago. IN CONTENTION

 -- Tom O'Neil

Photo credits, from top: Aftermath Records; BAFTA


Poll: What will win the Grammy for best song of the year?

The Grammy Award for best song of the year is very confusing. It's different from best record. The song award goes to the songwriters; record goes to the recording artists. Given the awards' similarity, the winners usually overlap, historically speaking, but not so much lately. In the last 10 years, they've agreed four times. Last occurrence was three years ago when Amy Winehouse's "Rehab" swept.

I think we're going to see the same thing with another rehab-themed work of music now. I foresee Eminem's "Rehab" winning best album and his track with Rihanna, "Love the Way You Lie," claiming the laurels for both record and song. If there's an upset, I think it'll be Cee Lo Green's "… You" because this is, after all, a songwriters' award and the words are so, well, hilariously and offensively outrageous.

Our forum moderators Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch and David "Guru" Schnelwar disagree. Both pick Lady Antebellum's "Need You Now" to win best song and record. Read their reasoning below -– in their own words. Then check out our predix and our polls for best record, album and new artist. Then give us your opinion in this poll.

Eminem grammy news lady antebellow

DARRIN "DOUBLED" DORTCH'S COMMENTARY: For some reason, Grammy voters seldom nominate rap songs here. "Lie" is only the third rap song to earn a nomination here and is unlikely to win unless Eminem sweeps. "The House That Built Me" was snubbed in record of the year and no one has heard "Beg, Steal or Borrow," so they won’t win either. After Beyonce’s shocking win here last year, "… You" could upset since three R&B songs have won here in the last decade. Despite several splits in secord and song of the year winners this last decade, I think "Need You Now" will win here, too, since, for the most part, record and song of the year winners usually match up.

WHAT WILL WIN: "Need You Now"
WHAT SHOULD WIN: "… You"
SPOILER: "Love the Way You Lie"

DAVID "GURU" SCHNELWAR'S COMMENTARY: "Need You Now" is the frontrunner to win song of the year but faces stiff competition from another country song "The House That Built Me." These songs could split the country voting block.

"Love the Way You Lie" and "… You" are also both nominated for record of the year and song of the year. "… You" failed to receive a nomination for best R&B song and is not likely to upset. "Love the Way You Lie" could benefit if both country songs split the vote and could be the first rap song to win song of the year.

"Beg Borrow or Steal" is a non-hit and non-factor in the race. I predict "Need You Now" to win.

WILL WIN: "Need You Now"
SHOULD WIN: "... You"
SPOILER: "Love the Way You Lie"

RELATED:

Poll: What will win the Grammy for album of the year?

Poll: What will win the Grammy for record of the year?

Poll: Who will win the Grammy for best new artist?

-- Tom O'Neil

Top photo: Lady Antebellum.  Credit: Capitol Records
Bottom photo: Eminem. Credit: Associated Press


Grammy poll: Can Cee Lo Green's naughty ditty win best record?

Cee lo green

The big jaw-dropper among Grammy nominations was the inclusion in the races for best record and song of Cee Lo Green's bawdy tune with a title unprintable in a family-friendly blog like this.

But everybody knows that the music industry is full of mavericks, bohemians and rascals. Many of them comprise the ranks of the 20,000 members of the National Academy of Recording Arts & Sciences, which votes on the Grammy Awards.

Could they actually pick Cee Lo's ditty and forever dispel the notion that these really are the fuddy-duddy "Grannys"? The concept of rap music winning is shattering enough, as we discussed in an earlier blog item.

-- Tom O'Neil

Photo: Elektra/Asylum


Its up to you, Eminem: Can rap finally win the top Grammy?

Eminem has the most nominations (10), but savvy award trackers are keeping a sharp eye on how he performs in one top race: best record of the year. If he can pull off a big victory there, it'll be historic: the first triumph ever for rap music.

Eminem

Rap has already won that other top category best album of the year albeit just one time: OutKast's "Speakerboxxx: The Love Below." But that was a massive breakthrough for the conservative "Grannys." Back in the olden days, Henry Mancini and Frank Sinatra tunes often swept the early awards (Sinatra is tied for  most victories for best album -- three) and categories for rock music weren't added until 1979.  As recently as 1994, Tony Bennett won best album for his "MTV Unplugged," triggering outcries that resulted in major voting reforms.

Rap music does get nominated for best record now and then.  Eminem's brilliant "Lose Yourself" nabbed a bid in 2003 and "Without Me" in 2002. Usually, when it sneaks in, it's tame fare, but at least rap gets in. Next, can it break through? "Love the Way You Lie" is fairly safe, melodic, mainstream. It competes against Jay-Z and Alicia Keys' "Empire State of Mind," Lady Antebellum's "Need You Now," B.o.B.'s "Nothing on You" and Cee Lo Green's " You."

--Tom O'Neil

Photo: Eminen. Credit: Aftermath Records



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