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Poll: What will win the Grammy for album of the year?

February 3, 2011 |  2:26 pm

Eminem recovery grammyThough I disagree with our forum moderators David "Guru" Schnelwar and Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch over what will win the Grammy for record of the year, I think they're right about what'll nab album of the year –- for all of the reasons they explain below.

Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch's commentary: Katy Perry's nomination here is a joke. Despite the album's hit singles, reviews were brutal and sales were underwhelming. She has zero chance to win. Lady Antebellum won't even win their genre category so they won't win either.

Lady Gaga's album is an EP and mainstream pop albums rarely win here, so she's a long shot as well. Other respected alternative acts like Radiohead and the Smashing Pumpkins failed to win here, so Arcade Fire's critically acclaimed LP is unlikely to win. Eminem's mediocre drivel will win by default since it's the year's best-selling album and he has 10 nominations.

Who will win: Eminem
Who should win: Arcade Fire
Spoiler: Lady Gaga

David "Guru" Schnelwar's commentary: Eminem's "Recovery" was the best-selling album of 2010. Last year, Taylor Swift's "Fearless" won album of the year and was the best-selling album of 2009. This is also Eminem's third time nominated in this category. Previously, Radiohead and Kanye West were both nominated three times in this category, and the third time was not the charm for either of them.

Lady Antebellum had the second-best-selling album of 2010. They are also nominated for record of the year and song of the year against Eminem. It is not expected that Lady Antebellum will win here.

An album nominated for best alternative music album has yet to win in this category. Arcade Fire is unlikely to be the one to break that cycle.

Lady Gaga's "The Fame Monster" and Katy Perry's "Teenage Dream" are both representing the pop field and will likely split the vote. I expect Eminem's "Recovery" to win.

Who will win: "Recovery," Eminem
Who should win: "The Fame Monster," Lady Gaga
Spoiler: "Need You Now," Lady Antebellum

-- Tom O'Neil  

Photo: The cover of Eminem's album "Recovery." Credit: Aftermath Records