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What the producers guild nominations mean

January 4, 2011 |  1:30 pm

Hurt locker 
Over the last 20 years, the PGA awards have been a solid predictor of how the academy votes. Thirteen of the last 20 winners have gone on to win Oscars. Even last year when the PGA expanded its best picture list to 10 films, it picked a winner with "The Hurt Locker." As for how the list of nominees reflected the academy list last year, the producers predicted eight of the 10 pictures. But where the PGA chose the popular "Star Trek" and Clint Eastwood's "Invictus," the academy went with the Coen brothers' "A Serious Man" and the Sandra Bullock-starrer "The Blind Side."

This year, with the PGA choosing Ben Affleck's "The Town," the producers omitted the critical darling "Winter's Bone," which has been trucking along receiving awards recognition since it debuted back at Sundance.

With the PGA awards being held on Jan. 22, we'll have a good idea on which way the academy might be going before its Jan. 25 nominations.

--Nicole Sperling

Photo: "The Hurt Locker." Credit: Summit Entertainment