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Golden Globe prediction: Best comedy/musical picture

December 14, 2010 |  5:20 pm

Kids are all right 11a "The Kids Are All Right" seems like a safe bet to win the Golden Globe for best comedy/musical picture. It has many strong pluses. It's packed with A-list stars (Annette Bening, Julianne Moore, Mark Ruffalo) and a hip political message (lesbian-led families are guess what just as messed up as hetero ones), and it's the only nominee with a serious shot at being nominated for best picture at the Oscars.

"Burlesque" has an outside shot at pulling off an upset. On those rare occasions when musicals get nominated in this comedy/musical category, they often win like "Sweeney Todd," "Moulin Rouge!" "Chicago" and "Evita." But those past champs were successful musicals, as measured by box office and film critics' reviews. "Burlesque" has some passionate fans but otherwise doesn't measure up.

"Red" and "The Tourist" are nominated merely because they feature big stars and voters had to come up with five contenders to fill up a weak category. "Alice in Wonderland" was a blockbuster hit that scored many positive reviews but a significant number of pans too. That means it probably can't win here. "Alice" support will be thrown behind giving Johnny Depp the Globe for best comedy/musical actor.

Tom O'Neil

Photo: Annette Bening, left, and Julianne Moore in "The Kids Are All Right." Photo credit: Focus Features.