Get ready for the big awards push: critics' awards, Globe and SAG noms
Award fans, rejoice. Over the next week, the Oscar derby goes into full trot with major kudos news breaking almost every day. Here's the schedule.
SUNDAY, DEC. 12 – Los Angeles Film Critics Assn., New York Film Critics Online
MONDAY, DEC. 13 – New York Film Critics Circle, Critics' Choice Awards nominations
TUESDAY, DEC. 14 – Golden Globe nominations
THURSDAY, DEC. 16 – SAG Awards nominations
The Los Angeles Film Critics Assn. and the New York York Film Critics Circle are the old establishment awards bestowed by groups that used to include only members from print publications: LAFCA dating back to the mid-1970s, NYFCC dating back to the mid-1930s. Nowadays, they permit critics from websites to join too, but still they remain focused on major media. Throughout their histories they've had enormous influence on the Oscar derby. The Angelenos pushed "Rocky" and "Unforgiven" Oscar-bound. The New Yorkers can take much of the credit for the best-pic victories of "The Lost Weekend," "Marty," "In the Heat of the Night," "The Deer Hunter" and "The Silence of the Lambs" at the Oscars. Both groups have championed many Oscar-winning actors too. This year experts predict "The Social Network" will win best picture from both groups and Colin Firth ("The King's Speech") will prevail as best actor.
Some members of NYFCC belong to the New York Film Critics Online, but the latter group doesn't have the same prestige of the circle. NYFCO is a ragtag gang of web-based movie journos who usually volunteer interesting choices, but there is no evidence that it's ever influenced the Oscar outcome.
The Critics' Choice Awards are bestowed by the Broadcast Film Critics Assn., which has been quite Oscar prescient of late – especially in terms of best-picture winners. It predicted the last four correctly, including, amazingly, "The Hurt Locker."
Meantime, the Golden Globes continue to do a good job of forecasting winners in the acting categories, but members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. have gone their own way in the best-picture contest in the past few years, usually disagreeing with Oscar voters. Last year they opted for "Avatar."
Last year the Screen Actors Guild Awards lined up exactly with the Oscars, but there were a few notable differences in other years. In 2008, Kate Winslet won in the supporting slot for "The Reader," not lead like at the Oscars, because that's the category she chose to enter. In 2007, SAG voters preferred Julie Christie ("Away From Her") to Marion Cotillard ("La Vie en Rose") in lead and Ruby Dee ("American Gangster") to Tilda Swinton ("Michael Clayton") in supporting. More than 80% of SAG and Oscar nominees overlap in those acting contests.
-- Tom O'Neil
Photo Credits: SAG Awards, Hollywood Foreign Press Assn.